Rising Rhetorical Battle Between Ethiopia and Eritrean Government Raises Anxieties of Military Confrontation

Mounting concerns are present regarding the chance of military engagement between East African neighbours, Ethiopia and Eritrea, as confrontational rhetoric has escalated in recent weeks.

Red Sea coastline
Ethiopia and The Eritrean government worked together in the internal conflict in Tigray but they have subsequently disagreed.

What Did Ethiopian Officials Said?

Ethiopia's, being landlocked, calls for entry to the maritime outlet through Eritrean territory has sparked a intense rhetorical conflict.

The Ethiopian leader first openly declared in last year that his nation's access to the sea was an crucial concern, statements that Eritrean authorities dismissed.

Diplomatic connections between the two countries have regularly been difficult. After a long-standing fight for sovereignty, Eritrea, which has a extensive sea border, formally separated from Ethiopia in the early 1990s, making it cut off from the sea.

Subsequently, a border war erupted in which more than 100,000 people were killed.

Recent Statements from Ethiopian Government

Prime Minister Abiy and military leader the army commander have publicly asserted control of Eritrea's coastal city of Assab – some 60 km from the boundary - and implied the intention to seize it militarily.

Recently, the Prime Minister said Ethiopia's "error" of losing entry to the Red Sea as a due to Eritrea secession would be "addressed soon".

The Ethiopian envoy to Kenya, ex-military officer Bacha, said that Assab was "Ethiopia's wealth" and would be returned "by force".

Eritrean Reaction to the Statements

Despite persistent challenges from Ethiopia, Eritrea's reaction has been restricted to short statements on online platforms from Communications Head Yemane G..

Officials have denied Ethiopia's demand for maritime entry labeling it "risky" and a "harmful plan" of "irredentism" – a approach of reclaiming previous domains.

Government spokespeople cautioned on mid-September that moves to justify "obvious provocation" would have significant repercussions for Ethiopia and its regional partners and is a "boundary that should not be crossed|violated|breached".

Defense Activities on the Border

There have been no reports of large-scale army activities in the frontier regions between the both nations.

Nonetheless, in the country, government media has displayed completion events of thousands of cadets at multiple army bases.

The head of personnel division of the military, General Hachalu, recently said in an interview that the military was in a "strong stance" as "tens of thousands of youths" were enlisting, which he said was "a message to our enemies".

Previous Origins of the Dispute

For over fifty years from the late 19th century, Eritrea was ruled by colonial powers.

Following Italy's defeat, it was then managed by the British military before becoming a associated territory of Ethiopia.

However in the early 1960s the ruler ended this agreement and Eritrea became fully incorporated into the Ethiopian state.

A thirty-year internal conflict occurred, ending with military reversal in 1991. Autonomy was then confirmed by voters in a plebiscite in 1993.

For a few years in the 1990s, there were friendly connections between the authorities in Ethiopia's capital and Asmara, but they fell out over the precise positioning of their shared boundary, resulting in conflict in 1998.

Even though this ended in a ceasefire agreement in 2000, it was incompletely executed, and the two nations stayed at loggerheads.

This situation improved in 2018, when the Prime Minister made gestures to Eritrean President President Isaias. The two endorsed a announcement that the hostilities was finished – a move that gained the Prime Minister the Nobel Peace Prize.

The two governments were then partners in the country's 2020-2022 internal conflict in the northern region.

But relations have since broken down again.

Alejandro Randall
Alejandro Randall

A seasoned sports analyst and betting enthusiast with over a decade of experience in the gaming industry.